U.S. media conglomerates are expected to shrug off the deteriorating economy in the first quarter thanks to strength in their cable networks, but real pain could hit as early as in the second quarter. Cable TV affiliate fees and advertising have propped up media profits as viewers defected from network TV, analysts said, despite a procession of incrementally dour comments on the economy from top executives of News Corp, Walt Disney Co and Time Warner. "The large cap media companies will show growth in the first quarter," UBS media analyst Michael Morris said, adding the quarter's advertising was likely purchased on budgets from last year, before the onset of the credit crisis. "The expectation is that growth will slow as the year progresses." Concerns about the economy aside, the first quarter results from the world's top two advertising agencies, Omnicom Group Inc and WPP Group Plc, suggest U.S. ad spending is holding up relatively well.
http://www.reuters.com/article/industryNews/idUSN2540910320080428
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