Wilmington DTV Test Portends Feb Crisis
[Commentary] From the numbers coming out of Wilmington, Jessell is figuring that about 5 percent of the homes that rely on off-air reception for some or all of their TV were either unaware or unprepared for the market's early DTV switch. If that is the case, then we should expect that at least 1.7 million homes will be at a loss on the morning of Feb 18, 2009, the morning after every full-power TV station as a matter of law must turn off its analog transmitter. That's an awful lot of homes. There are many executive producers who would love to attract that many households to their programs. There is no way the FCC and local broadcasters are going to be able to cope with the problems of 3.4 million homes -- more than eight million people -- no matter how hard they try. Broadcasters should begin touting the benefits of digital so that off-air viewers have an incentive to switch to digital well before the analog cut off. Broadcasters need to do more and longer "soft tests," in which they replace the programming on their analog signal with informational graphics. The government needs to permit at least one station in every market to continue broadcasting an analog signal with a graphic after the cut-off. The government should stagger the cut-off dates so that the millions of confused and frustrated viewers don't all take to the phones expressing their confusion and frustration on the same day.