October 2009

Census to Reveal Major Shift: No More Joe Consumer

The 2010 Census is expected to find that 309 million people live in the United States. But one person will be missing: the average American. "The concept of an 'average American' is gone, probably forever," demographics expert Peter Francese writes in 2010 America, a new Ad Age white paper. "The average American has been replaced by a complex, multidimensional society that defies simplistic labeling." The message to marketers is clear: No single demographic, or even handful of demographics, neatly defines the nation. There is no such thing as "the American consumer." US households are growing ever more complex and varied. Minorities are the new majority. The nation is moving -- South and West.

States Putting Squeeze on Ads to Raise Funds

The marketing industry isn't just under threat of regulatory pressure by the federal government -- it's also under fire in states across the country. The issues range from pushes to tax advertising (under discussion in the legislatures of at least 15 states) to a county supervisor in Virginia asking his legislative committee to determine if it can regulate "human billboard" advertising. "States are under enormous financial pressure and they're looking at any source they can find," said Dan Jaffe, exec VP-government relations for the Association of National Advertisers. "That's ... why there are more taxes and creative ways to tax the industry to pay for programs that are being somewhat diminished."

Plan calls for action on 21st-century skills

More than 200 schools, districts, universities, state education departments, businesses, and nonprofit organizations have expressed support for a "National Action Agenda" from the Partnership for 21st Century Skills (P21). The agenda lists eight guiding principles that will help build an education system that prepares children to succeed in today's world, P21 says. By singing the agenda, the organizations -- which include the National School Boards Association, the National Education Association, the National Association of State Boards of Education, the Consortium for School Networking (CoSN), and Pearson Education -- have committed to a plan that equips students with the skills and knowledge they'll need to succeed in the 21st century, P21 says. The principles that the organizations have agreed to uphold say that the economic and civic viability of the United States depends on its schools' ability to prepare today's students for the challenges and realities of this century, including a global, information-based economy. Access to the skills and knowledge needed to succeed in today's world is the right of every child, and ensuring this must be a national priority, the agenda states.

Education advocates push for Network Neutrality

Educators say a neutral Internet is a key in developing and delivering online content to distance learners and students in rural areas, and an unregulated Internet would create unfair advantages for large universities that could pay more for faster, more efficient web service. Wendy Wigen, a government relations officer for higher-education technology advocate EDUCAUSE, said failure to pass a Network Neutrality law would mean the country's largest universities could pay telecommunications companies for preferential treatment, while small community colleges without similar financial means would be at a distinct disadvantage. "[Colleges] could pay to be in the fast lane," Wigen said. "These managed services would take over what we think of as the public Internet. ... The idea that our content would be discriminated against is disturbing, to say the least. We don't want whoever pays the most [to get] the best treatment."

TV Stations offer mini-newscasts to grab attention-deficient viewers

While some might wonder just how much punch a newscast the size of a commercial pod might pack, programs running from 2½ to 12 minutes are finding viewers from Detroit to Knoxville to San Diego. The "snackable" programs hit home at a time when consuming short clips on YouTube and station sites is part of life for many, and may be just the right size for those intent on getting the next day's weather before turning in for the night. The bite-sized local programs are a way for a station to get into the news game without shelling out millions to launch a full newsroom, or a means for extending their news brand into a new time slot. For others, a shorter newscast effectively captures a sleepy market's modest amount of breaking news, or helps avoid cannibalizing the newscast put out by a news partner in the market.

Economists to FCC: Wireless and Wired Broadband Are Equal

[Commentary] On Friday, economists at a Federal Communications Commission National Broadband Plan workshop debate how the wireline duopoly affects the market for broadband in the US and the majority of speakers insisted that when it comes to broadband access regulators need to also look at the wireless market. While typically a region will be served by one DSL provider and one cable provider, explained Marius Schwartz, a professor of economics at Georgetown University, there are also four national wireless carriers that can provide broadband service as well. If the FCC is going to view the wireless providers as a true nationwide substitution for wired broadband, then Higginbotham supposes it's good that it's trying to bring the same set of rules and standards for Network Neutrality to play for wireless operators. However, believing that wireless is a credible substitute for wired broadband is like believing that Molly McButter's powdered flakes are a credible substitute for the real thing.

Why the End of AT&T's iPhone Exclusivity Would Be Good for Apple

AT&T's exclusive deal with Apple as the U.S. carrier for the iPhone expires next year, and there are signs that the arrangement between the two companies will then end. Such a move would bode very well indeed for the entire Apple ecosystem, from iPhone users to application developers. Apple itself, of course, stands to benefit the most. iPhone sales in the US could double if Apple ended its exclusive contract with AT&T.

How Democrats Won The Data War In 2008

A look at progressive voter contact methods shows how data-mining and targeting operations played a role in the election of Barack Obama. A year-long psycho-graphic voter targeting and contact operation performed by Catalist, a for-profit company, has been accredited with having helped Democrats win the 2008 data war. Catalist's member groups contacted a universe of 49 million adults more than 127 million times; about half of them managed to vote, representing more than 20% of all the votes cast. With a major caveat attached -- it's hard to know why individual voters are motivated to cast ballots on Election Day -- the report concludes that progressive data-driven targeting was "essential to progressive victories." In the 16 states targeted by liberal groups, more than one in three voters was contacted at least once before Election Day. The date shows the enormity of contact made by Catalist, but Catalist's CEO says the data might have just been "noise had the Obama campaign not embraced a methodology that used the data effectively."

Lack of LTE Devices Worries Operators

The LTE (Long-Term Evolution) modems shown at ITU Telecom World are still very much under development and will be ready to ship toward the end of next year, according to vendors. ZTE has provided the most detailed specifications of its upcoming modems. Currently, it's waiting for Qualcomm to start shipping the commercial chipsets. That will happen in September, which will leave it just enough time to get products out before the end of the year, said Xiaodong Zhu, CTO at ZTE in Western Europe, in an interview at the telecom conference. But the operators aren't convinced that ZTE and the other modem manufacturers will be able to do that. A unanimous panel of operators, including AT&T, NTT DOCOMO and Telefónica, voiced concerns about their ability to have devices ready by the end of next year.

Thank Julius Genachowski for giving us a better mobile Internet

[Commentary] Close observers of the wireless industry might be wondering whether this was opposite week. Since when do mobile carriers go out of their way to offer their customers more functions and substantially cheaper service? That's easy: Since the end of June, when Julius Genachowski became chairman of the Federal Communications Commission. He's the most technologically aware FCC chairman ever to occupy the job. In particular, he understands what has made the Internet such a successful platform for innovation: It was designed to avoid favoring any particular application. In the few months since he took over the FCC, Genachowski has set a new tone for the agency, promising to rein in any companies that try to restrict what people can do on their Internet lines. In August, he surprised the tech industry by demanding an explanation from Apple for its rejection of Google Voice. Late in September, he argued for new rules to make sure Internet service providers obey the FCC's network-neutrality principles.