February 2009

Asia's shoppers go online as Internet barriers fall

Consumers in Asia are taking to Internet shopping like never before as the region becomes one of the world's fastest growing e-commerce markets. Internet retailing is increasingly making its presence felt in Asia because telecommunications infrastructure has improved, and payment modes, a major obstacle to online shopping, are now more secure. As more people in Asian countries such as China and India get hooked up to the Internet, online sales are expected to rise by an average of 20 percent a year. In some markets, such as Japan, they are expected to increase by as much as 40 percent annually.

Internet penetration rates, the percent of the population that has Internet access, is about 17 percent in Asia versus 73 percent in North America and almost 50 percent in Europe, according to www.internetworldstats.com.

Showbiz employment outlook troubling

Entertainment employment in the Los Angeles area will be flat in 2009 and post a modest uptick next year, but the long-term outlook remains worrisome. In a report to be circulated Wednesday, the Los Angeles Economic Development Corp., a private research organization, says the local motion picture and sound-recording industries will add about 1,000 jobs this year, while broadcasters and cable companies will cut 1,000 positions. In 2010, the local entertainment sector will add about 2,000 jobs, bringing film employment to 128,000 and TV employment to 19,000, the LAEDC estimates. But runaway film production -- in which producers base projects outside Southern California to take advantage of lower costs or financial incentives -- and small-staff reality TV programing remain threatening trends, according to LAEDC economist Jack Kyser.

As Earnings Drop 32%, Comcast Raises Dividend

The Comcast Corporation, the nation's largest cable TV provider, said Wednesday that its fourth-quarter earnings fell 32 percent, hampered by a $600 million write-down of its investment in the Clearwire Corporation, the wireless technology provider. Excluding items like the Clearwire charge, Comcast earned 27 cents a share, up 7 cents a share from the same quarter last year. Comcast's revenue and adjusted earnings beat Wall Street estimates, however, helped by growth in Comcast's video segment. Comcast also raised its annual dividend by 2 cents a share, to 27 cents. Comcast's video revenue rose 3 percent to $4.74 billion. The company lost 233,000 basic subscribers in the quarter but gained 247,000 digital customers, who pay more for service. Its average revenue per video customer rose 9 percent, to $113.80 a month, helped by customers adding to their cable channel lineup, even in the recession. Revenue from broadband Internet services rose 9 percent, to $1.86 billion. Comcast added 184,000 Internet subscribers during the quarter, down 46 percent from the 341,000 it added in the year-ago quarter. The company ended the period with 14.9 million broadband customers. Revenue from Comcast's digital phone segment rose 45 percent, to $731 million. However, the company's addition of 344,000 digital phone customers was down 44 percent from the amount added in the fourth quarter of 2007. For the year, Comcast earned $2.55 billion.

FCC Extends Deadline for Cable Ops to Appeal Fines

On Tuesday, the Federal Communications Commission extended the deadline for cable operators to pay or appeal fines for failing to provide sufficient information to the commission in its investigation of the migration of channels from analog to digital, changing rates without sufficient notice, and more. The new deadline is now march 20. The initial FCC investigations were in response to complaints from Consumers Union and others that operators were migrating channels from analog to digital without lowering the price of the analog tier and in some cases raising it. Cable operators have been trying to get their customers to move to digital to free up bandwidth for advanced services, including migrating channels.

NTIA: New Data-Collection on Competition is Unnecessary, Burdensome

Cable operators have told the Federal Communications Commission that its proposed new data-collection form on cable competition would be an un-necessarily burdensome route to the same destination, which is that cable has not reached the so-called 70/70 threshold that could trigger new government regulation of the industry. In a filing with the FCC Tuesday, the National Cable & Telecommunications Association said that "No survey is necessary to prove that a variety of competitors have substantially eroded and continue to erode - the share of the video distribution marketplace that traditional cable operators serve." The FCC came to that same basic conclusion in January, releasing a long-overdue report that concluded that while cable does pass more than 70% of households-a fact cable readily concedes-it had not met the second part of that test, which is that 70% of those households subscribe to cable. The figure is something below 60%, said NCTA.

Duncan wants stimulus to transform schools

President Barack Obama and his Education Secretary, Arne Duncan, want to do more than save teachers' jobs or renovate classrooms with the new economic recovery law. They're hoping to reinvent education for the 21st century--while transforming the federal government's role in public education in the process. Public schools will get an unprecedented amount of money--nearly double the education budget of this past year--from the stimulus bill in the next two years. With those dollars, Obama and Duncan want schools to do better. The bill includes a $5 billion fund solely for these innovations, an amount that might not seem like much, considering the bill's $787 billion price tag. But it is massive compared with the $16 million in discretionary money that Duncan's predecessors got each year for their own priorities. Congress laid out broad guidelines for the fund in the stimulus bill that became law on Feb. 17. But it will be up to Duncan and the team of advisers he is assembling to decide how to dole out the money. They have until Oct. 1, when the next fiscal year begins, to start distributing the dollars. What would the fund pay for? Rewarding states and school districts that are making big progress--and showcasing these entities and their reforms as models for others to follow. To get the money, states will have to show they are making good progress in five areas: 1) Boosting teacher effectiveness and getting more good teachers into high-poverty, high-minority schools; 2) Setting up data systems to track how much a student has learned from one year to the next; 3) Improving academic standards and tests; 4) Supporting struggling schools; and 5) Partnerships with nonprofit groups.

Six ways to make Web 2.0 work

Technologies known collectively as Web 2.0 have spread widely among consumers over the past five years. Social-networking Web sites, such as Facebook and MySpace, now attract more than 100 million visitors a month. As the popularity of Web 2.0 has grown, companies have noted the intense consumer engagement and creativity surrounding these technologies. Many organizations, keen to harness Web 2.0 internally, are experimenting with the tools or deploying them on a trial basis. Over the past two years, McKinsey has studied more than 50 early adopters to garner insights into successful efforts to use Web 2.0 as a way of unlocking participation.

The six critical factors that determine the outcome of efforts to implement these technologies: 1) The transformation to a bottom-up culture needs help from the top.
2) The best uses come from users—but they require help to scale.
3) What's in the workflow is what gets used.
4) Appeal to the participants' egos and needs—not just their wallets.
5) The right solution comes from the right participants.
6) Balance the top-down and self-management of risk.

Sirius faces next challenge in May

Despite this week's help from Liberty Media, Sirius XM still has an overall debt load of $2.3 billion still to worry about. The company has an additional $350 million due in May. Creditors say they would move to fire CEO Mel Karmazin if Sirius entered bankruptcy

Freedom 2 Connect: A Must-Attend Event March 30th in DC

[Commentary] One of Daily's favorite telecom-related events is Freedom 2 Connect. It dubs itself as "a meeting of people engaged with Internet connectivity and all that it enables" and that really only scratches the surface. While a smaller affair attendance-wise, it has an amazing concentration of big brains across a wide spectrum of expertises, from network guys, to community leaders, to public interest groups, to creative professionals, to financial types, and everything in between.

Viral Spiral

Friday, February 20, 2009
12:15 - 1:45 p.m.
New America Foundation
1630 Connecticut Ave NW, 7th Floor
Washington, DC 20009

Viral Spiral is the term David Bollier coins to describe the almost magical process by which Internet users can come together to build online commons and tools. From free and open-source software, Creative Commons licenses, Wikipedia, remix music and video mashups to peer production, open science, open education, and open business - the world of digital media has spawned a new "sharing economy" that increasingly competes with entrenched media giants.

Please join us for a discussion with David Bollier, author, Viral Spiral, on how commoners built a digital republic of their own. Bollier argues that during a period when the Bush Administration promoted privatization in all things and brought digital policy innovation to a virtual standstill, free culture was one of the few spaces where idealism and innovation could run free. Free culture has built its own alternative democratic polity - a parallel digital universe that honors such radical ideas as participation, transparency and accountability.

David Bollier is a journalist, activist, and public policy analyst as well as Editor of Onthecommons.org. He is a former New America fellow and Co-Founder of Public Knowledge. A Senior Fellow at the Norman Lear Center, Bollier is the author of numerous highly praised books, including Brand Name Bullies and Silent Theft.

Featured speakers
David Bollier
Author, Viral Spiral
Senior Fellow, Norman Lear Center at the USC Annenberg Center for Communication
Co-Founder of Public Knowledge

Sascha Meinrath
Research Director, Wireless Future Program
Director, Open Technology Initiative
New America Foundation

Moderator
Michael Calabrese
Director, Wireless Future Program
New America Foundation

To RSVP for the event, click on the red button or go to the event page:

http://www.newamerica.net/events/2009/viral_spiral