February 2009

Consumers Sticking with Free TV

Despite efforts by pay-TV providers, consumers have proven surprisingly resistant to the call of pay TV and the number who have chosen to convert from antenna to cable or satellite is falling short of many expectations. At one time, SNL Kagan analysts thought that as many as 20 percent of the nearly 16 million over-the-air-only households would migrate to cable or satellite during 2009. But now the company thinks the conversion rate will be closer to 10 percent or a gain of 1.6 million new pay customers (one million for cable and the rest of satellite), says Justin Nielson a senior analyst at SNL Kagan. What's changed? Nielson cites the recession. "More people are going to opt for the converter boxes than signing up for cable just because of the cost. It is a one-time cost for the converter box." he says. Nielson also thinks a lot of individuals are happy with their converter boxes and are "actually impressed" with the new signals and the HD programming that they are able to get over the air.

Google, Tech Giants Form White Spaces Tech Group

Despite a possible delay in the DTV transition, and therefore a delay in the availability of white spaces, several top tech companies announced Wednesday that they are joining forces to provide the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) with technical recommendations for a white spaces database. Google, Comsearch, Dell, Hewlett-Packard, Microsoft, Motorola, and Neustar will team up for the White Spaces Database Group, which will offer the FCC "perspectives, and some specific recommendations, about the technical requirements we would like to see adopted for the database," according to Google. "We don't plan to become a database administrator ourselves, but do want to work with the FCC to make sure that a white spaces database gets up and running," Richard Whitt, Google's Washington telecom and media counsel, wrote in a blog post. "We hope that this will unfold in a matter of months, not years." When TV broadcasters switch from analog to digital TV signals, unused spectrum - or white spaces - will emerge, and companies like Microsoft and Google want to use it for mobile broadband. Broadcasters, led by the National Association of Broadcasters (NAB), argue that such activity could disrupt TV signals and wireless microphone transmissions.

Backing House Internet provisions, Sen. Wyden galls telecom industry

Sen Ron Wyden (D-OR), a prominent champion for the tech industry, will find himself at odds with telecom lobbyists over provisions in the economic stimulus package designed to give consumers unrestricted access to the Web. Sen Wyden has lined up behind the House provisions on open access, which are more detailed than those in the Senate legislation related to how the recovery package's billions of dollars for developing Internet infrastructure should be spent. In the House bill that passed last week, lawmakers call upon the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) to define what "open access" is within 45 days of the stimulus's passage. In addition, companies applying for broadband grants will have to adhere to a 2005 policy statement by the FCC that says consumers should access the Web with no restrictions placed by providers on their Internet traffic or content. The Senate version has general language saying companies applying for broadband grants should stick to "non-discrimination" contractual obligations that will be published by the Commerce Department in coordination with the FCC.

Cable Providers Scoff at Obama's Plan to Get Every Child Online

President Barack Obama may face pushback from Comcast and other cable providers on his plan to wire rural areas for high-speed Internet access. The biggest companies, including Comcast and AT&T, probably won't take part in the plan unless lawmakers provide more money for installation of costly broadband lines and drop speed and access requirements, said Robert Atkinson of the Information Technology & Innovation Foundation. "As the bill is currently structured, the companies that provide 90 to 95 percent of broadband won't be applying for these grants," said Atkinson, who leads the Washington-based think tank. "It's just not a good trade-off for them." The House of Representatives approved $6 billion in funding for the Internet buildout, while the current version of the Senate bill allocates $9 billion. Even smaller providers, such as SureWest Communications, say that won't cover the cost of building to remote areas or ensure that enough customers sign up to justify the expansion.

The Best Billion We Can Spend On Rural Broadband

[Commentary] Are we stimulating rural broadband deployment to the best of our ability by focusing solely on a big-government, top-down approach to federal and state officials picking winners and losers by writing big checks? Could there be some way to enhance what's already there with a small-government, market-driven strategy that rewards progressive projects, gets money flowing quickly, and maximizes the impact of government dollars? Daily offers a plan: $1 billion in budget authority for fast-track partial loan guarantees for next-generation broadband -- that would allow $25 billion in guarantees to be distributed thereby enabling $50 billion in total investment to be realized. These guarantees would cover 100% of the losses up to 40-60% of the total value of the loan. The size of the guarantees would be based on a sliding scale relative to the overall density of a project. Projects under 10 premises per linear mile of inhabited road could get 60%; projects over 25 premises could get 40%; and in between is the sliding scale. The fast-track approval process would require applicants to have market-ready projects but would approve projects based on a simple checklist that insures they have what they need to take their plans to the private capital markets. Once given a guarantee, applicants would have 120 days to secure financing before the guarantees expire. In this way we rely on the capital markets to vet which projects are financially viable and deserve funding. Any project supported by these guarantees must provide universal, open, and next-generation broadband access. These guaranteed loans can be used to fund all aspects of network deployment and operation. And while the emphasis is on wireline broadband, up to 20% of these loans can go to deploying complementary next-generation wireless access. All communities under 50,000 without a next-generation wireline broadband provider are eligible. All owner/operator models are eligible. All forms of capital can be guaranteed.

Smart Tech: Where's Our Stimulus?

With Congress in the middle of a debate over the massive economic stimulus package, it seems likely that as much as one-quarter of the proposed $800 billion-plus will go to upgrading the nation's badly neglected infrastructure. And based on wish lists that are being drawn up by the states, it looks as if most of that money will be spent on traditional road and bridge projects. Yet tech industry leaders warn that such an outcome could represent a huge lost opportunity. They say Congress should use the stimulus legislation to encourage infrastructure investments that include new "smart" technologies. These are sensors, software, and other tech products that make it possible to build things faster and better, and to operate them more efficiently and safely.

Time Warner Cable, Charter Set Internet-Usage Cap Plans

Time Warner Cable will expand a test of usage-based Internet billing to four additional markets, while Charter Communications has confirmed that starting next week it will impose usage limits on most of its broadband users. Time Warner Cable chief operating officer Landel Hobbs, on the operator's earnings call Wednesday, said the operator will expand its "consumption-based billing" beyond the small Beaumont, Texas, system where it initiated a test last year. "With Congress poised to spend billions getting Americans connected to a better, faster Internet," said S. Derek Turner, research director of Free Press, "we're concerned that caps discourage Internet adoption and stifle economic growth. In general, we're wary of any roadblock to the development of applications and services that drive experimentation and innovation online. We need to be expanding our digital economy, not shrinking it."

Gregg pushes for stimulus one day after nomination

Sen Judd Gregg (R-NH) on Wednesday offered public support for the Obama administration's stimulus package, one day after the fiscal hawk was nominated as Commerce secretary. "I've been supportive of a very robust stimulus package since day one," Sen Gregg said during an appearance Wednesday morning on CNBC. "The only group that has liquidity around here is the federal government." Sen Gregg, who said he would recuse himself from a vote on the package, pledged to stick to his fiscally conservative principles in Obama's administration. Sen Gregg said President Obama had asked him specifically to serve as Commerce secretary to help address entitlement reform.

Anna Gomez Named Deputy NTIA Administrator

The Telecommunications and Information Administration announced the appointment of Anna Gomez as the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Communications and Information, and Deputy National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA) Administrator. One of Gomez's top duties will be to help facilitate the nation's historic transition to digital television. Gomez is the Vice President, State and Federal Regulatory, Government Affairs advocating on behalf of Sprint Nextel before state and federal government agencies regarding non-spectrum issues that affect the company's wireless and wireline assets. Prior to her work in private industry, Gomez worked for several years at the Federal Communications Commission in various management positions including Chief, Network Services Division, Common Carrier Bureau and most recently as Deputy Chief of the International Bureau where she assisted in developing and implementing policy on international telecommunications and satellite spectrum. Gomez also served as a Senior Legal Advisor to former FCC Chairman William Kennard. Prior to her work at the FCC, Gomez served as the Deputy Chief of Staff in the National Economic Council during the Clinton Administration specializing in the development of US telecommunications policy and issues related to Hispanic education. Gomez also served as Staff Counsel in the Senate for the Subcommittee on Communication.

A Federal Chief Technology Officer in the Obama Administration

Among the early hurdles for a yet-to-be-named federal chief technology officer will be negotiating domains of responsibilities, formal and informal, within the White House and with executive branch agencies that have overlapping missions. Congress may decide to provide a statutory foundation for a CTO, define the individual's roles and authorities, authorize and appropriate funds, provide for oversight, and address other aspects of the position. If Congress takes this route, questions may arise: What mission, duties, and authorities should the CTO have? Should a CTO serve as the chief CIO for the government as well as the lead champion for U.S. innovation? Should the CTO's appointment be subject to Senate confirmation? What is the relationship between the CTO and the existing CTOs and CIOs of individual agencies?