January 2013

Were Obama’s Early Ads Really the Game Changer?

[Commentary] Many post-mortems of the 2012 presidential campaign suggest that Mitt Romney erred by allowing President Barack Obama to “define” him early through an advertising blitz in battleground states. The problem, however, is that there is very little evidence that these early ads mattered much, according to research I have done along with Lynn Vavreck, a political scientist at the University of California, Los Angeles, for an upcoming book, The Gamble.

Some of that evidence comes from political science research into other campaigns, including presidential races. As I noted here over a year ago, this research finds that political ads have short-lived effects. If during one week a candidate broadcasts significantly more advertisements than the opponent, that candidate may see a boost in the polls, but the effect of that advertising will be mostly gone within a few days. Political ads are a bit like morphine: you need dose after dose for them to keeping working. Political science research and this initial evidence from 2012 suggests that the Obama campaign’s blitz of early advertising did little apparent damage to Mr. Romney in the minds of voters.

Tech Giants Brace for More Scrutiny From Regulators

Silicon Valley lobbied hard in Washington in 2012, and despite some friction with regulators, fared fairly well. In 2013, though, government scrutiny is likely to grow. And with this scrutiny will come even greater efforts by the tech industry to press its case in the nation’s capital and overseas.

In 2012, among other victories, the industry staved off calls for federal consumer privacy legislation and successfully pushed for a revamp of an obscure law that had placed strict privacy protections on Americans’ video rental records. It also helped achieve a stalemate on a proposed global effort to let Web users limit behavioral tracking online, using Do Not Track browser settings. But this year is likely to put that issue in the spotlight again, and bring intense negotiations between industry and consumer rights groups over whether and how to allow consumers to limit tracking. Congress is likely to revisit online security legislation — meant to safeguard critical infrastructure from attack — that failed last year. And a looming question for Web giants will be who takes the reins of the Federal Trade Commission, the industry’s main regulator, this year. David C. Vladeck, the director of the commission’s Bureau of Consumer Protection, has resigned, and there have been suggestions that its chairman, Jon Leibowitz, would step down.

Apple vs. Google vs. Facebook vs. Amazon

Four big technology fiefs -- Apple, Amazon, Google, and Facebook -- have been creeping into each other's turf for years. In 2013, their war is set to escalate around two fronts: hardware and search.

Software giants including Google and Amazon are interested in ramping up hardware to boost customer loyalty and to extend control over their software services and the revenues that flow from them. That is heightening their collision course with Apple, which is responding by building more of its own software to make its devices stand out. Google, with the $12.5 billion purchase of Motorola Mobility under its belt, plans to use the phone maker to release new Android devices to help knock Apple's iPhone off its perch. And Amazon, which has upped the ante in the tablet wars with the Kindle Fire, has also been testing its own phone. Meanwhile, all four companies see search as a big opportunity for retaining and profiting off customers. While Google's paradigm of typing queries in a search box has prevailed for years, now its rivals want to undercut the Web-search giant through mobile search on smartphones and other devices, and a slew of search services that allow recommendations from friends.

E-book restrictions leave 'buyers' with few rights

[Commentary] There's a crass old joke about how you can never buy beer, just rent it. Who would think that the same joke applies to book buying in the digital age? But that's the case.

Many people who'll be unwrapping iPads, Amazon Kindles or Barnes & Noble Nooks on Tuesday morning and loading them with bestsellers or classics won't have any idea how limited their rights are as their books' "owners." In fact, they won't be owners at all. They'll be licensees. Unlike the owners of a physical tome, they won't have the unlimited right to lend an e-book, give it away, resell it or leave it to their heirs. If it's bought for their iPad, they won't be able to read it on their Kindle. And if Amazon or the other sellers don't like what they've done with it, they can take it back, without warning. All these restrictions "raise obvious questions about what 'ownership' is," observes Dan Gillmor, an expert on digital media at Arizona State University. "The companies that license stuff digitally have made it clear that you own nothing."

House Republicans urge Obama not to issue cybersecurity order

A group of 46 House Republicans, led by Reps. Marsha Blackburn (TN) and Steve Scalise (LA), sent President Barack Obama a letter on Dec 21 urging him not to issue an executive order on cybersecurity.

"Instead of preempting Congress' will and pushing a top-down regulatory framework, your administration should engage Congress in an open and constructive manner to help address the serious cybersecurity challenges facing our country," the lawmakers wrote. They said the president should support the Republicans' cybersecurity bill, the Cyber Intelligence Sharing and Protection Act (CISPA), which would encourage companies to share information about cyber threats. "This framework will work better than attempts to place the government in charge of overseeing minimum standards for industries seeking to invest in new and innovative security solutions," the Republicans wrote.

Free Press Says Any More Deregulation Is Unjustified

Free Press filed comments with the Federal Communications Commission on media ownership diversity and its conclusion was that a recent ownership report showed abysmally low levels of station ownership by women and minorities.

"We appreciate the opportunity to comment on the data," said Free Press policy director Matt Wood, "which still shows shockingly low levels of broadcast ownership diversity. But the FCC's truncated comment period - during the holiday season, no less - is hardly a serious attempt to address this matter.... Releasing these numbers is the first step the FCC needs to take, but it's not enough. Just having the numbers in hand won't satisfy the mandate of the Third Circuit Court of Appeals, which rejected the agency's attempts to weaken ownership rules on two prior occasions." Free Press wants the FCC to study the impact of the chairman's proposal on those "abysmally" low numbers, suggesting that analysis would result in the conclusion they any more deregulation cannot be justified.

FCC Won't Enforce Build-Out Requirements on LightSquared

The Federal Communications Commission has agreed not to hold LightSquared to build-out conditions on a terrestrial mobile broadband network, which seems only fair since the FCC is not currently allowing it to operate the network.

"We find LightSquared is unable to meet the specific build-out requirements associated with its proposed terrestrial network because its ability to deploy is constrained by unresolved interference concerns with respect to certain Global Positioning Service (GPS) users operating in adjacent bands," said the FCC. On condition of Harbinger Capital Partners purchase of a controlling interest in LightSquared's Mobile Satellite Service (MSS) L-Band licenses -- the spectrum it wants to use for the network -- was that it provide terrestrial coverage to at least 100 million people in the U.S. by the end of this month. Clearly that is not going to happen, thanks to the FCC hold on the waiver. The other deadlines -- terrestrial coverage to at least 145 million U.S. residents by Dec. 31, 2013, and to at least 260 million by Dec. 31, 2015, -- depends on whether the FCC accepts the latest proposal.

Verizon: Let Us Count the Ways FCC Is Wrong on Open Internet

In Verizon's reply brief to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, the company essentially counts all the ways it says the Federal Communications Commission got it wrong in its defense of the network neutrality/open Internet rules, including what it says is the FCC's first claim that it has the direct authority to regulate the Internet.

Verizon said: 1) The FCC's reasoning that the order "escapes" a statutory ban on common carrier regulations is wrong and flatly conflicts with existing doctrine; 2) the commission relies on "far too slender a thread" to support its claim of Internet regulatory authority; 3) contrary to the FCC's assertion, broadband providers are speakers, whose speech the FCC has curtailed without justification; and 4) the order is arbitrary and capricious because there is no record of abuse.

Why Regulation and Free Speech Don’t Mix

[Commentary] Robert Caro’s latest installment of his five-volume biography of Lyndon Johnson spells out how the president used the Federal Communications Commission to cajole and control TV and radio station owners, a tactic later adopted by Richard Nixon to try to control the Watergate scandal. Heed the words of the late judge David Bazelon: “Under the First Amendment, the licensor's motivation should be irrelevant: the exercise of power over speech leads the government knee-deep into regulation of expression. And that, we have always assumed, is forbidden by the First Amendment."

Jury Awards $1.17 Billion in Patent Suit

Carnegie Mellon University said it was awarded $1.17 billion by a federal jury in Pittsburgh in a unanimous verdict that found the Marvell Technology Group had sold billions of semiconductors using technology developed at the university without a license.

The award is one of the largest in a patent infringement case, and comes after a $1 billion verdict awarded to Apple this summer over its smartphone design. Carnegie claimed that Marvell had infringed on a pair of patents relating to fundamental technology for increasing the accuracy with which hard drive circuits read data from high-speed magnetic disks. The patents were developed by José Moura, a professor in the department of electrical and computer engineering, and Aleksandar Kavcic, a former Ph.D. student now a professor at the University of Hawaii. Their work was supported by Carnegie’s Data Storage Systems Center, a university research organization.