April 2013

Sprint, T-Mobile Risk Being Stuck in Second Tier

While the U.S. wireless industry engages in an intensifying merger frenzy, antitrust authorities are emphasizing that there are limits to how far they will let it go.

The Justice Department said in a regulatory filing last Friday that it would be skeptical of further concentration among the major wireless companies, a stance that could cement the second-tier status of No. 3 wireless carrier Sprint Nextel and No. 4 T-Mobile USA. The comments led some industry analysts and bankers to adjust the way they viewed the odds of further deals after the current wave of consolidation wraps up. Some executives, including the chiefs of Sprint and T-Mobile, have hinted at a possible combination of the two companies down the road. Their pitch to the government would be that such a merger is needed to give them the scale to compete with industry leaders Verizon Wireless and AT&T, which each have more wireless customers than Sprint and T-Mobile put together and account for nearly all of the profits in the U.S. wireless industry. The latest comments from the government are a setback for those hopes.

SoftBank Stands to Make $4 Billion if Sprint Deal Unravels

SoftBank said it expects to complete its acquisition of Sprint Nextel without fighting off Dish Network’s $25.5 billion cash-and-stock bid with a sweeter offer. But the Japanese company is looking at a profit of about $4 billion if the original deal doesn't go through.

SoftBank said that it was well along in getting approvals for buying the U.S. cellphone provider and expected to complete the original deal on July 1. SoftBank is considering several responses to the offer from U.S.-based Dish, including improving or otherwise adjusting the Japanese company's original $20.1 billion agreement to acquire 70% of the third-largest U.S. carrier, a person familiar with SoftBank's thinking said. SoftBank, Japan's third-largest mobile operator, has reason to play it cool with Sprint. Under the six-month-old merger agreement, SoftBank would receive $600 million if Sprint decides to back out. In addition, SoftBank has invested $3.1 billion in a convertible bond that can be converted at $5.25 a share. If Dish's about $7-a-share offer is accepted, SoftBank stands to gain about $1 billion from the bond. Finally, SoftBank hedged the remaining $17 billion it owes Sprint shareholders on completion of the deal at ¥82.20 to the dollar. The yen has weakened sharply since November, with the dollar fetching ¥97.86 as of Tuesday evening in Tokyo. At that rate, SoftBank stands to gain another $2.5 billion in currency gains.

ACLU files complaint with FTC over older Android software

The American Civil Liberties Union filed a federal complaint accusing the nation’s largest wireless carriers of “deceptive” business practices for failing to keep the software on tens of millions of Android smartphones updated — a shortcoming that can make the devices vulnerable to hackers.

Security companies have documented a surge of malicious software targeting Android phones, whose operating systems are made by Google, over the past year. Older phones that do not receive routine updates are particularly exposed, security experts say, yet the wireless carriers who sell most of the phones in the United States have struggled to keep the software current. The problem has caused smartphones featuring Android, which is the most popular mobile operating system in the world, to be more vulnerable to hackers than those of its leading rivals, such as Apple’s iPhone, which receives regular software updates, security experts say. Only one in four Android phones worldwide has the latest generation of the operating system, called Jelly Bean, according to statistics kept by Google, and more than 45 percent run on software first released more than two years ago. Older versions sometimes receive security patches provided by Google, though the process of delivering these to consumers is inconsistent across the dozens of different Android smartphones made by several major manufacturers.

Feds vow to pounce if Google strays from antitrust deal

The Federal Trade Commission said they would pounce on Google if they learned that the company, which dominates Internet search, violated the law after reaching an antitrust settlement in January.

FTC Chairman Edith Ramirez defended the agreement with Google at a congressional hearing. She told the Senate Judiciary Committee's antitrust subcommittee she fully expected Google to live up to its agreement, even in the absence of a court filing. "The agency will take appropriate action if Google does not," she said. "I share your concern ... that the voluntary commitments would create confusion over settlement practices at the commission. What I can tell you is that that matter should not be considered a precedent," she added. Bill Baer, the Justice Department's assistant attorney general for antitrust, whose agency shares with the FTC the work of enforcing antitrust law, was asked how the Justice Department would react if Google were found to break antitrust law. The FTC and Justice Department "would have a prompt conversation about who is best equipped to" investigate, said Baer.

DOJ Will Monitor Impact of Cable Prices, Bundles on Consumers

The Department of Justice's new antitrust enforcer pledged to the Senate that monitoring merger deal conditions, cable pricing and bundles and allowing consumers to drop pay-TV service in favor of free online fare would all be major focuses for his division.

That came in an antitrust oversight hearing in the Senate Antitrust Subcommittee featuring William Baer, assistant attorney general in the DOJ antitrust division, and new Federal Trade Commission chairwoman Edith Ramirez. DOJ and FTC share antitrust oversight of mergers, along with the FCC for communications mergers that involve transfers of licenses. Sens. Al Franken (D-MN) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) focused in on communications issues. Sen Franken began his questioning of the witnesses by saying that consumers were having a hard time stretching the family budget to pay for $200 cable bills and $200 mobile phone bills. "These markets are very consolidated," he said.

Google-EU Deal Wouldn’t Target Global Solution, Almunia Says

Google’s competitors, clamoring for the European Union to press the search company to make global changes, face disappointment after the bloc’s antitrust chief said any settlement would focus on Europe. While confined to Google’s competition issues there, any accord to end the European Union’s antitrust probe that started in 2010 must stand the test of time and be impossible to circumvent, Joaquin Almunia said. Google this month submitted an offer to the Brussels-based European Commission that would create more distinction in Internet searches between its own services and those of its competitors, according to a person familiar with the talks.

“The U.S. and the EU have different systems and, on top of that, Google has a very different market position in the U.S., where its competitors have a market share of around 30 percent,” Almunia said in response to written questions. “In Europe, Google’s market share is more than 90 percent.” Rivals, such as Microsoft, want the EU to extract changes after the U.S. closed a 20-month investigation into whether Google unfairly promoted its own services in search results. The Federal Trade Commission in January concluded that Google was motivated more by wanting to improve its search results than by a desire to stifle competition.

Arbitron Shareholders Approve Nielsen Takeover Deal, FTC Reviewing

The proposed acquisition of Arbitron by Nielsen came a step closer to reality with an almost unanimous vote by Arbitron shareholders to approve the deal.

The Nielsen takeover, which would effectively merge the two largest U.S. media measurement companies, was approved by 98.99% of shares voting at a special meeting on Tuesday, according to Arbitron, representing 77.11% of all Arbitron shares. The deal still has a couple more regulatory hurdles to overcome, including expiration of the Hart-Scott-Rodino antitrust waiting period. Nielsen and Arbitron have received requests for additional information from the Federal Trade Commission, which also said it would need extra time to review the deal, but Nielsen CEO David Calhoun expressed confidence that the deal would pass regulatory scrutiny.

Boston rumors aside, cell service can be halted

The government’s process for shutting down a wireless network is shrouded in both secrecy and controversy.

Amid the chaos in Boston on April 15, The Associated Press erroneously reported that all cell service had been shut down throughout the city out of fear that other bombs might be detonated via mobile phone. In truth, cell outages had more predictable causes — massive use that overwhelmed the available bandwidth and interfered with calls, texts and Internet access. Still, the incident pointed to a little-known fact: The government does have a means of shutting down wireless communications and it has been done at least twice. But of course, the idea is controversial.

Objection is twofold — it may be unconstitutional and, also, it can easily disrupt rescue efforts and increase public anxiety. Even with overloaded circuits, cellphones were crucial to summoning emergency workers and allowing people near the blasts to tell relatives and friends they were OK.

Sen Rockefeller Files Media Violence Bill As Amendment To Gun Control

Sen Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) has offered his media violence research bill as an amendment to gun-control legislation currently before the Senate, according to a committee spokesperson.

The amendment mirrors the standalone bill Sen Rockefeller introduced in January in the wake of the Sandy Hook School shootings. If Republicans allow debate on the gun-control bill, there could be an up or down vote on the Rockefeller amendment which directs the Federal Communications Commission and the Department of Health and Human Services to conduct a comprehensive study of whether violent video games and video programming have a harmful effect on kids, including causing them to be aggressive and causing already aggressive kids to be even more so, as well as whether that harm is distinguishable from the "negative effects" of any other type of media. That suggests the study would have to extend to movies, books and other entertainment. Sen Rockefeller also wants to know whether the negative impact, if there is one, is long-lasting and whether video games have a unique impact due to their interactivity and "the extraordinarily personal and vivid way violence might be portrayed in such video games."

New Publisher Authors Trust: Themselves

As digital disruption continues to reshape the publishing market, self-publishing — including distribution digitally or as print on demand — has become more and more popular, and more feasible, with an increasing array of options for anyone with an idea and a keyboard. Most of the attention so far has focused on unknown and unsigned authors who storm onto the best-seller lists through their own ingenuity. While self-published authors get no advance, they typically receive 70 percent of sales. A standard contract with a traditional house gives an author an advance, and only pays royalties — the standard is 25 percent of digital sales and 7 to 12 percent of the list price for bound books — after the advance is earned back in sales. ICM Partners, which will announce its new self-publishing service on April 17, is one of the biggest and most powerful agencies to offer the option. But others are doing the same as they seek to provide additional value to their writers while also extending their reach in the industry.