October 2016

AT&T/Time Warner deal could be approved without any FCC merger review

Advocacy groups are urging US regulators to consider blocking AT&T's purchase of Time Warner, but AT&T may be able to avoid any review by the Federal Communications Commission. The merger will be analyzed by the Department of Justice, but AT&T has said the FCC will be involved only if any FCC licenses are transferred to AT&T. A TV station is an example of something that requires an FCC license, but AT&T said that it and Time Warner are still "determining which FCC licenses, if any, will be transferred to AT&T in connection with the transaction."

The reason for this uncertainty is that "despite its big media footprint, Time Warner has only one FCC-regulated broadcast station, WPCH-TV in Atlanta," Reuters reported. "Time Warner could sell the license to try to avoid a formal FCC review, several analysts said." (Time Warner Inc. is completely separate from Time Warner Cable, which was sold to Charter in 2016 after an FCC review.) Transfer of a license to a third party would still require FCC review, but it would be separate from the AT&T/Time Warner transaction. Multichannel News raised the possibility that there might be other FCC licenses involved, but acknowledged that it isn't clear. "Some analysts, and one veteran communications attorney, thought there might be some satellite uplink licenses, but an FCC source said they did not know of any," the news site reported.

Sen Franken Wants 'Highest Scrutiny' of AT&T-Time Warner

Veteran consolidation critic Sen Al Franken (D-MN) has serious issues with the AT&T-Time Warner merger, he told Federal Communications Commission Chairman Tom Wheeler and Attorney General Loretta Lynch in letters to both Oct 24.

Sen Franken urged the "highest level" of scrutiny and could do some scrutinizing of the deal himself or at least of the players, particularly if Democrats win back the Senate. Sen Franken said he is skeptical of any further media consolidation. "Combining these behemoths would create a mega media conglomerate with both the incentive and ability to use its platform to harm consumers and competitors alike," he said. AT&T has said its platform would be open to competing programmers and signaled the digital rights to Time Warner programming would be available as well, but Sen Franken signaled he is not assuaged by AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson's suggestion behavioral conditions would take care of concerns about access to content. "I have serious doubts about the enforceability and reliability of such conditions as a remedy for anticompetitive behavior," Sen Franken said. He cited the Comcast-NBCU deal, which he also opposed, and the protracted fight with Bloomberg TV over "news neighborhooding" prohibition as an example of those conditions not working as advertised. He also cited AT&T's DirecTV price hike increases and accusations that it failed to meet some commitments in the BellSouth/Cingular integration.

Merger Critics Take Aim at AT&T-Time Warner

Combining telecommunication giant AT&T with Time Warner and its content assets that stretch from CNN to the Harry Potter film franchise was bound to draw fire from media consolidation foes, and that was the case Oct 23 and 24 as details of the merger deal emerged.

Mike Copps, something of the elder statesman of consolidation critics, called the deal "unthinkable." "The sorry history of mega mergers shows they run roughshod over the public interest," said Copps, now a special advisor to Common Cause and formerly Federal Communications Commission Democratic chairman and commissioner. "Further entrenching monopoly harms innovation and drives up prices for consumers. The answer is clear: regulators must say no."

Gene Kimmelman, who heads up Public Knowledge, said, “[W]e see many competition concerns related to preferencing their own services and content in ways that may harm consumers."

Demand Progress Executive Director David Segal said the deal would be "disastrous' for the public. "This takeover would result in a dangerous concentration of economic and political power that could lead to higher costs, curtail consumer choice, and potentially constrain speech and information access," he said.

The Parents Television Council said: "AT&T’s purchase of Time Warner will create an entertainment behemoth, and no doubt the corporate spin-masters will emphasize benefits to consumers. But if history is our guide, this merger should be of great concern to families."

AT&T getting into the movie biz with studio that’s much hotter than Universal was when Comcast bought it

Although AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson conceded that he’s never run a movie studio before, chances are the acquisition of Warner Bros. Pictures, part of the company’s $85.4 billion bid to buy Time Warner, isn’t an afterthought. Certainly, in 2009, when Comcast first proposed buying NBCUniversal, there wasn’t a whole lot of attention paid to the cable company taking over a badly slumping Universal Pictures unit that had fallen to dead last among the major movie studios.

Indeed, seven years ago, Time Warner’s Warner Bros. Pictures unit controlled 19.7 percent of the North American box office. With its powerful Minions still a year away from hitting the global box office and turning the fortunes of the studio around, Universal controlled just 8.3 percent of the North American theatrical market in 2009. Jump forward to 2015, and Universal controlled the lion’s share of the global box office, bringing in more than $2.4 billion in North American theatrical revenue alone and generating intellectual property that sparked EBITDA for Comcast across not just cable video on demand, but in robust businesses like theme parks and consumer products.

AT&T's Time Warner deal to create challenges for Sling, Netflix, Amazon, Hulu and others

AT&T’s announced $85.4 billion acquisition of media giant Time Warner signals a ramp-up in consolidation of content assets that many video industry players and analysts predicted would happen. Gaining ownership of HBO and its online outlet, HBO Now, as well as Warner Brothers and Turner -- which has a classic-movies subscription video on demand (SVOD) service waiting in the wings -- gives AT&T a huge chunk of content for its pending linear over-the-top (OTT) service, DirecTV Now.

AT&T's deal for Time Warner is just the latest – but so far the largest -- in a series of maneuvers by larger corporations to scoop up pricey media and entertainment assets with key pieces of online video delivery services and infrastructure. For example, in August Disney carved away BAM Tech from Major League Baseball Advanced Media, buying a 33 percent share. And last year and early into this year, major cloud players including Amazon and IBM bought up numerous delivery providers. On the surface, Time Warner's media assets should allow AT&T to compete directly with linear multichannel video programming distributors (MVPDs) like Sling TV and PlayStation Vue, and give Netflix, Amazon and Hulu a run for their money. “The need to be competitive in this area is becoming paramount, with the likes of Hulu and YouTube preparing linear-channel-based online subscription offerings of their own,” said IHS Technology Director of Research Ted Hall. Analyst Rich Greenfield of BTIG said that AT&T's strategy in buying Time Warner is to get direct access to Warner Bros and HBO's "content engines." But other analysts are somewhat skeptical that owned content will help AT&T long-term.

AT&T, Time Warner want to out-innovate cable

AT&T’s proposed $85 billion takeover of Time Warner will, in part, help the combined companies push video distribution innovation that may have been slowed by cable companies. Time Warner CEO Jeff Bewkes said various cable companies and other distributors “took a long time” to create direct-to-consumer video on demand (VOD) offerings across all networks because negotiations between various pay-TV providers and network groups held up the process. “We’ve been trying at Time Warner to get more video-on-demand on, not just our networks, but have it become a universal thing for every American. You go to your set-top or television and that whole dial of networks, hundreds of channels, they should all be VOD just like HBO and Netflix,” said Bewkes. Bewkes said AT&T, which he called the largest and best at mobile delivery, will help drive more choices and different price points of video distribution for different consumers.

Of course, right now, two of the best examples of that kind of video distribution innovation is AT&T’s upcoming virtual MVPD DirecTV Now – which AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson today said would officially launch in November – and HBO Now, one of the most successful early direct-to-consumer video services. BTIG analyst Rich Greenfield said that HBO Now is likely one of the key assets driving AT&T to the deal with Time Warner. “AT&T is not buying Time Warner for its basic cable networks. AT&T is buying Time Warner to get at its content creation engines Warner Bros. and HBO, with HBO one of the only legacy media assets to establish a direct-to-consumer business (HBO Now),” wrote Greenfield in a research note.

Analyst: AT&T may opt out of incentive auction due to Time Warner deal

AT&T may no longer be looking to spend much in the incentive auction of 600 MHz spectrum now that it has agreed to fork over $85 billion to acquire Time Warner. And that would likely mean that the auction won’t raise nearly as much money as had been expected.

The nation’s second-largest mobile network operator announced over the weekend that it has agreed to buy Time Warner in a blockbuster deal to expand its digital media empire. The move comes as AT&T prepares to launch DirecTV Now, a mobile-focused, over-the-top (OTT) offering in an effort to leverage the 2015 $49 billion acquisition of the satellite TV provider. Interestingly, the announcement came just a few days after Stage 2 of the incentive auction of TV broadcasters’ airwaves ended abruptly after a single round, surprising analysts and other onlookers who expected the second stage to last two weeks or more. Stage 2 generated only $21.5 billion in bids, falling far short of the $54.6 billion that would have ended the event. The unexpectedly truncated round led some analysts to suggest that one bidder that had been looking to buy spectrum nationwide may have put its wallet back in its pocket, essentially walking away from the event. And Tim Farrar of TMF Associates took that scenario one step further, suggesting Comcast – which had been expected to spend roughly $5 billion or $6 billion at auction – might have opted out, choosing to focus primarily on the MVNO agreement it activated with Verizon last year rather than investing heavily to acquire its own spectrum licenses.

What will be the next big deal in telecom after AT&T and Time Warner?

AT&T’s giant $85.4 billion deal for Time Warner likely will satiate AT&T in the mergers & acquisitions space, at least for a time. After all, AT&T failed to acquire T-Mobile in 2011, but was successful in purchasing DirecTV in 2015 for around $49 billion. And AT&T executives have argued that the carrier’s purchase of Time Warner will be successful since it’s a “vertical” acquisition rather than a “horizontal” transaction involving two players in the same industry.

So if AT&T is busy buying Time Warner, what will happen next? First, it’s clear the stage is set for further M&A. The Federal Communications Commission’s ongoing incentive auction of TV broadcasters’ unwanted 600 MHz spectrum is likely to end later this year or early next year. And the presidential election will be over Nov. 8, paving the way for some kind of stability at the FCC and the Department of Justice. Possibilities: Comcast, Charter, Altice and cable; T-Mobile and Sprint; Dish (an outlier); and Verizon.

Presidential Campaigns Haven’t Agreed To ‘Acceptable’ Post-Election Press Access

On Nov 9, either Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump should be the next president of the United States. But whether reporters are able to follow her or him throughout the day, as is done for the sitting president, remains unclear. Neither campaign has yet agreed to a protective pool to track the president-elect’s movements, a departure from recent election cycles.

“It is not normal and it is unacceptable,” said Jeff Mason, a Reuters correspondent and president of the White House Correspondents’ Association. The White House Correspondents’ Association oversees the rotating group of reporters who travel everywhere with the president and file dispatches to the larger press corps on what he’s doing, whom he’s meeting with and when he returns home. This arrangement, known as a protective pool, is considered necessary to ensure journalists are present in the event of any newsworthy comment or moment, including a threat on the president’s life. Both the Clinton and Trump campaigns have traveling press pools, but neither is fully protective. The Democratic and Republican standard-bearers in recent election cycles ― including Sen John McCain (R-AZ) and former Massachusetts Gov Mitt Romney ― had protective pools in place by the time they wrapped up the summer conventions. In letters sent to the Clinton and Trump campaigns, the WHCA’s leadership expressed “profound concern and consternation” at both for so far failing to establish a protective pool system and urged each “to remedy the situation without delay for the remainder of the 2016 campaign.”

One new California PUC commissioner has already begun reform

[Commentary] The opinion piece by Mike Montgomery needs a reality check (“In reforming the PUC, Brown should replace commissioners”; Forum, Oct. 16). Yes, Montgomery and friends at CALinnovates, the private sector has a deep interest in how regulators perform their essential function, and you might like to name a few more of your own to the California Public Utilities Commission. But we need to remember that consumers and the wider public interest must also be at the table.

Groups like TURN (The Utility Reform Network), the Greenlining Institute, Media Alliance and others provide a necessary voice for the social contract upon which utility network operators build, and these voices must be heard. The call for replacing the reformers on the PUC in order to advance reform is simply ludicrous. If you want transparent, accountable regulation made by informed ethical regulators, Sandoval is a star performer and California is lucky to have her service.

[Sean Taketa McLaughlin is executive director of Access Humboldt based in Eureka (CA), and a board member for the Schools, Health & Libraries Broadband Coalition based in Washington, D.C.]