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As mobile browsers and Web programming systems improve, the difference between sites you access from a browser and apps you download from a centralized store will surely shrink.
Web sites will grow more adept at storing content locally (so you won't have to be online to use them), they'll get better at using your device's specialized hardware, and their interfaces will look and feel just as complex and responsive as those of native apps. In other words, the fight between apps and the Web will be rendered moot. The two modes of getting online will become indistinguishable—you'll reach for the Web or apps or both, depending on the device you're using. The more relevant issue is that we'll all be getting online more, and for all kinds of tasks—listening to music, watching movies, reading books, playing games, doing office work, and communicating with friends and colleagues. Sun Microsystems' old slogan, "the network is the computer," gets truer every day.
The Future of the Internet
A look at The Atavist, a tiny curio of a business that looks for new ways to present long-form content for the digital age. All the richness of the Web — links to more information, videos, casts of characters — is right there in an app displaying an article, but with a swipe of the finger, the presentation reverts to clean text that can be scrolled by merely tilting the device. Readers who buy an article from The Atavist and read it on an iPad — there are also less media-rich versions for the Kindle and the Nook — could begin reading the piece at home and then when driving to work, toggle to an audio version. In each item, there is a timeline navigation that seems natural and simple, and a place for comments that mimics the notes that people put in the margins of complicated, interesting pieces. Since opening for business at the end of January, The Atavist has published three long pieces that are native to the tablet in concept and execution, and it has had over 40,000 downloads of its app. Writers are paid a fee to cover reporting expenses and then split revenue with The Atavist. For the time being, an article costs $2.99 for the iPad and $1.99 for the Kindle or Nook.
Long-Form Journalism Finds a Home
[Commentary] Beware of habitual monopolists bearing gifts -- especially if they operate in shamefully uncompetitive markets.
AT&T’s proposed $39 billion takeover of T-Mobile USA would create a dominant mobile-phone operator, with a 39% market share in America, and a near-duopoly with Verizon, the current market leader: together their combined share would be 70%. It is a mark of the mess that the United States has made of telecoms not just that such a deal is being considered, but also that a duopoly might actually bring genuine short-term benefits. All the same, it would be far better if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) and the Department of Justice blocked the T-Mobile merger -- and tried to reform the market instead. The bait for President Barack Obama is that the deal could speed up his commitment to make broadband available to more Americans. AT&T says the acquisition will let it expand its fourth-generation (4G) technology -- which will provide faster data connections on mobile devices -- to a further 46.5m Americans, including many in rural areas who cannot get fixed-line broadband. This is much the same argument that AT&T’s grandmother, Ma Bell, made a century ago when it lobbied successfully to be allowed to swallow up lots of other telephone operators and become a monopoly, on the ground that this was the best way to ensure decent coverage, especially in a huge country with a thinly spread population.
The suspicion is that President Obama, desperate both to build some broken fences with big business and to make progress on connecting every American home to the Internet, will give in. In fact he should push the FCC to promote more competition -- by, for instance, allowing other firms to buy bulk wireless capacity from AT&T and resell it, by freeing up underused spectrum and by making local phone and cable firms share their wires. A duopoly would in the end reduce choice for American consumers, and be hard to reverse. Best to block it.
Not So Fast, Ma Bell
MCI and Sprint in 2000. DirecTV and Dish Network in 2002. The Google-Yahoo advertising alliance of 2008. All three megadeals were trumpeted with great fanfare … but never happened.
The Justice Department’s Antitrust Division rejected the MCI and satellite television mergers, asserting that they would limit competition. The online ad deal unraveled when Justice threatened to block it. So when officials at AT&T (the country’s second-largest wireless carrier) announced a $39 billion acquisition of T-Mobile (the fourth-largest) last weekend, they had clearly studied history. “The facts show that the U.S. wireless market is one of the most competitive markets in the world,” said Wayne Watts, senior executive vice president and general counsel for AT&T, at a Monday news conference. As far as he is concerned, the Obama administration should not hesitate to approve the transaction, because the cellular business is robust. Trouble is, that’s not for him to say. The newly combined behemoth would surpass Verizon as the nation’s largest wireless carrier, creating what critics say is a duopoly. (In market share, Sprint is a distant third.) Now, regulators will step in. If they foresee higher prices, fewer choices, and limited access to the latest technologies -- because only vigorous competition guarantees those consumer-friendly offerings -- they can kill or modify the deal. But first, the Justice Department has to figure out which prices are too high, how many choices are too few, and what, exactly, makes competition vigorous.
The Urge to Merge
[Commentary] Back when the movement for strong open Internet rules included a company called Google, it was generally agreed among such advocates that clear federal agency provisions against protocol blocking and unreasonable discrimination should be applied to last-mile wireless and wireline broadband connections alike. All these concerns vaporized, of course, once Google made policy peace with its Droid partner Verizon last August.
The two companies then issued their famous Legislative Framework proposal that would deny the FCC even the authority to make hard-and-fast rules on its own. Suddenly the distinct and delicate nature of wireless broadband was discovered. So when the FCC finally issued its long awaited and partially Congressionally disapproved-of net neutrality rules in December, the Commission dutifully exempted wireless from all but the aforementioned transparency provision and a bar on the outright blocking of content.
Now, however, with AT&T's bid to gobble up T-Mobile, all these competition rationales return to haunt their advocates. After all, in 2010 both the Department of Justice and the National Telecommunications Information Agency wondered out loud whether wireless broadband would really make the residential broadband sector more competitive. The government's decision to waive unfair discrimination provisions against wireless broadband was based on a widely vetted evaluation of the competitive nature of that market. Surely, a proposal that would result in one carrier controlling almost 42 percent of wireless subscriber share changes that assessment. The FCC, FTC, Department of Justice, and Congress must now decide how much.
With AT&T/T-Mobile, wireless network neutrality should be back on the table
John Stanton, the founder of T-Mobile USA's predecessor and chief executive of Clearwire, criticized AT&T's proposed deal to buy T-Mobile USA, calling it a "huge challenge to competition in the industry."
"This represents something we're seriously concerned with," Stanton said. He added that he would express his concerns to the government as regulators begin to scrutinize the deal. Stanton called AT&T a well-organized and disciplined company, but he added it is a "brutal competitor." He described the company's insistence on keeping the Apple Inc. iPhone an exclusive device for as long as it did "stepping on the air hose of T-Mobile."
Clearwire CEO Expresses Concerns With AT&T Deal
Parul Desai, policy council for Consumers Union, appears this week on C-SPAN's "The Communicators." She makes clear Consumers Union's stance on AT&T's proposed purchase of T-Mobile: the transaction must be blocked.
"I don't think there are really any conditions that could, at this point, alleviate the harms that would come out of the transaction." "AT&T hasn't shown to me why it would need T-Mobile's assets and spectrum" to achieve its post-merger goal of extending advanced 4G wireless service to 95 percent of the country, she said. "They already have the spectrum [they need]. They just haven't invested [in] or built out that spectrum." While Desai acknowledges that wireless voice prices have gone down in recent years, she said that rates for broadband data plans are on the rise. "If this venture is about mobile broadband, that obviously involves data," she said. Desai also raised concerns about the specter of layoffs, a worry shared by the Communications Workers of America, despite its early endorsement of the deal. "We will obviously be looking at that carefully.
Consumers Union: Block AT&T, T-Mobile Deal
[Commentary] It’s easy to imagine the ultimate meeting in AT&T’s corporate headquarters that finalized the decision to buy out No. 4 national wireless carrier T-Mobile.
AT&T Chairman Randall Stephenson is at the head of the table. He goes around the table checking with his top executives – Wayne Watts, the general counsel; Ralph de la Vega, who heads AT&T Mobility; Rick Lindner, the chief financial officer; John Stankey, who is in charge of business solutions. There probably were others, but those were the key players who would participate in the investor webcast.
Finally, he looks over at Jim Cicconi, the chief lobbyist, who was on the dais with those other execs for the webcast on Monday morning, March 21. All the other guys are on board, but Cicconi is key. It will be his job to sell the deal in Washington. In this scenario, Cicconi’s analysis goes something like this: “All of the Republicans in the Senate and House will be with us. Even the Tea Party won't raise a fuss because they don't want the government interfering with the free market. Some Democrats might object, but we've got most of them neutralized because we have the union (Communications Workers of America) and lots of their traditional constituencies on our side. And, frankly, the Obama people, either in DoJ or the FCC, don't have the stones to stop this. They might insist on some conditions, and we'll do some negotiating, but nothing we can't handle or that would make a difference.”
Who wants to bet against that scenario?
What Will Derail AT&T's Political Calculus On T-Mobile?
[Commentary] Yet again The Wall Street Journal, in an editorial and op-ed piece, uses snarkiness and mischaracterizations to refute legitimate concerns about AT&T’s acquisition of T-Mobile.
See Wall Street Journal, Review & Outlook, More Spectrum, Please--AT&T bids $39 billion to get around FCC bottlenecks, A14 (March 23, 2011); Holman W. Jenkins, Jr. AT&T’s Big Bet on Spectrum Folly, A13 (March 23, 2011). These pieces reframe the issue from a question about market concentration into an endorsement of AT&T’s valiant “self-help” efforts to find adequate spectrum for consumers. They glibly ignore or dismiss the proper focus on how the deal would affect consumers, competition, innovation, employment and service prices. The Journal dismisses as hackneyed Gigi Sohn’s conclusion that allowing two or three ventures to control over 92% of the market reduces competition and choice, raises prices, reduces innovation and results in fewer jobs. See PBS News Hour, How Will Consumers Fare in T-Mobile, AT&T Merger? (March 22, 2011). Once upon a time even the Republican Party of Teddy Roosevelt acted to prevent marketplace distortion caused by monopoly “trusts.” When a market lacks robust competition few operators do not have to spend sleepless afternoons innovating and striving to operate more efficiently.
Explaining Wireless Spectrum Woes
Tracking a customer’s whereabouts is part and parcel of what phone companies do for a living.
Every seven seconds or so, the phone company of someone with a working cellphone is determining the nearest tower, so as to most efficiently route calls. And for billing reasons, they track where the call is coming from and how long it has lasted. “At any given instant, a cell company has to know where you are; it is constantly registering with the tower with the strongest signal,” said Matthew Blaze, a professor of computer and information science at the University of Pennsylvania who has testified before Congress on the issue.
It’s Tracking Your Every Move and You May Not Even Know