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Telecommunications issues that pit small providers against the wireless behemoths could lose a key advocate if AT&T buys up T-Mobile.

The mega-merger would create a national wireless company of unprecedented scale by wedding the second largest wireless carrier with the fourth. That could have far-reaching consequences for several of T-Mobile's top policy issues, including special access reform, the D Block auction and data roaming — while isolating Sprint as the torch-bearer for these causes. Still, advocates are hoping the merger could assist them with telecom topics that rarely draw the limelight. They say it could reinvigorate Washington's focus on these issues and lend credence to their laments about market concentration. T-Mobile and Sprint have led the charge in asking the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) to regulate the rates smaller carriers pay AT&T and Verizon to connect their cell towers to wireline networks. "You could look at it two ways," Silva said. "There will be one less entity arguing for special access reform — you have one less voice — but the FCC will probably be looking at what can it do within the regulatory universe that could keep Sprint strong and not withering away." Proponents of automatic data roaming hope the merger will bring additional attention to their issue. T-Mobile and Sprint have traditionally advocated for the FCC to require AT&T and Verizon to enter agreements allowing mobile broadband customers to roam on their networks. T-Mobile's policy issues could resurface as conditions on the transaction. Analysts at Stifel Nicolaus wrote in a note that the merger could include special access and data roaming requirements as a way to offset increased market concentration.


Whither T-Mobile's policy agenda? Fate uncertain for David v. Goliath telecom issues
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Could AT&T's purchase of T-Mobile be all about the iPhone 4G -- and, specifically, AT&T's desire to boost its network to compete with the new Verizon iPhone 4.

This of course would enable many millions more US consumers (folks tied to T-Mobile, or who prefer that network) to buy Apple's wonderphone. Those hopes were quickly quashed when T-Mobile said it will remain independent, albeit under AT&T's stewardship, for around a year, and it won't offer the iPhone to its customers in that time. But here's the thing: The joining of AT&T and T-Mobile pairs the US's second and fourth biggest cell phone networks, creating a new monster company that would be the biggest by far - -beating Verizon's approximately 300 million users by a large margin. And while AT&T and Verizon are busy pushing forward on its 4G long term evolution upgrade to bring about the next generation of mobile data phones, T-Mobile actually has the largest existing 4G infrastructure in the US. By buying into T-Mobile, AT&T is setting itself up to take the lead in the race to 4G coverage. Which suggests that, yes, this acquisition all about the iPhone 4G.


AT&T and T-Mobile: All About the iPhone 4G in 2012?
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AT&T’s integration of its $39 billion acquisition of T-Mobile USA may be slowed down by a network already overloaded by users of Apple’s iPhone, a Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. analyst said.

The deal will give AT&T new airwaves for its planned high-speed, fourth-generation network. T- Mobile’s subscribers, who are now using those airwaves, will eventually be moved to AT&T’s network, AT&T said. “That’s probably the most ambitious piece of this,” said Craig Moffett, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein who rates AT&T “market perform” and doesn't own the shares. “That network is already struggling and has been ever since they landed the iPhone, so that network isn't ready to dump a bunch of T-Mobile customers onto it.” AT&T expects $7 billion in integration costs over the next three years, said John Stankey, president of AT&T Business Solutions. To free up capacity on the 3G network, used by iPhone customers, for T-Mobile users, AT&T will have to wait until subscribers move to the planned 4G network, a process that may take three to five years, Moffett said. The combined company will update its towers to allow customers to use their second- and third-generation phones across both networks, Stankey said. The higher-speed, 4G long- term-evolution network that AT&T plans to build will cover 95 percent of the U.S., the executive said. All subscribers will see the benefits from the larger network -- which will increase the number of cell sites in the overcrowded New York and San Francisco markets by as much as 35 percent -- within two years, Stankey said. The companies use the same network technologies, which makes the integration easier, he said.


AT&T May Be Haunted by iPhone Network Load in T-Mobile Merger
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AT&T’s integration of its $39 billion acquisition of T-Mobile USA may be slowed down by a network already overloaded by users of Apple’s iPhone, a Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. analyst said.

The deal will give AT&T new airwaves for its planned high-speed, fourth-generation network. T- Mobile’s subscribers, who are now using those airwaves, will eventually be moved to AT&T’s network, AT&T said. “That’s probably the most ambitious piece of this,” said Craig Moffett, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein who rates AT&T “market perform” and doesn't own the shares. “That network is already struggling and has been ever since they landed the iPhone, so that network isn't ready to dump a bunch of T-Mobile customers onto it.” AT&T expects $7 billion in integration costs over the next three years, said John Stankey, president of AT&T Business Solutions. To free up capacity on the 3G network, used by iPhone customers, for T-Mobile users, AT&T will have to wait until subscribers move to the planned 4G network, a process that may take three to five years, Moffett said. The combined company will update its towers to allow customers to use their second- and third-generation phones across both networks, Stankey said. The higher-speed, 4G long- term-evolution network that AT&T plans to build will cover 95 percent of the U.S., the executive said. All subscribers will see the benefits from the larger network -- which will increase the number of cell sites in the overcrowded New York and San Francisco markets by as much as 35 percent -- within two years, Stankey said. The companies use the same network technologies, which makes the integration easier, he said.


AT&T May Be Haunted by iPhone Network Load in T-Mobile Merger
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[Commentary] Who loses in the AT&T|T-Mobile deal? Here's the list:

The biggest losers of this deal are going to be the consumers. While AT&T and T-Mobile are going to try to spin it as a good deal to combine wireless spectrum assets, the fact is, T-Mobile USA is now out of the market. T-Mobile USA has been fairly aggressive in offering cheaper voice and data plans as it has tried to compete with its larger brethren. The competition has kept the prices in the market low enough. This has worked well for U.S. consumers. With the merger of AT&T and T-Mobile, the market is now reduced to three national players: AT&T, Verizon and Sprint. Net-net, U.S. consumers are going to lose.

Phone Handset Makers, Sprint, Network Equipment Suppliers, and Google which had a great partner in T-Mobile for its Android OS-based devices. Now the company will be beholden to two massive phone companies — Verizon and AT&T — who are going to try to hijack Android to serve their own ends.

It doesn't matter how you look at it; this is just bad for wireless innovation, which means bad news for consumers. T-Mobile has been pretty experimental and innovative: It has experimented with newer technologies such as UMA, built its own handsets and has generally been a more consumer-centric company. AT&T, on the other hand, has the innovation of a lead pencil and has the mentality more suited to a monopoly: a position it wants to regain.


In AT&T & T-Mobile Merger, Everybody Loses AT&T's Expansion Raises Questions For Consumers (NPR)
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After announcing plans to buy T-Mobile on March 20, AT&T began the hard sell on March 21.

AT&T officials stressed that rather than produce less competition in the market, a combined T-Mobile-AT&T would create a more competitive landscape in the U.S. wireless industry by achieving greater economies of scale that would drive down data prices, expose more Americans to mobile broadband and foster more service innovation. AT&T’s biggest selling point was the expanded scale of its future mobile broadband network if it combined network assets and licenses with T-Mobile. An AT&T of 130 million subscribers loaded down with new spectrum could build a long-term evolution network covering 95% of the U.S. population, adding 46 million pops, mainly in small and rural markets, to the largely metropolitan network it plans to build today. AT&T gave no timeline on when such a network would be complete, but considering AT&T expects to close the deal in a year and estimated another two years to fully rationalize the two operators spectrum holdings, the operator is looking at a 3-year horizon at the minimum. AT&T is touting an estimated $40 billion in cost synergies through a greater diversity of devices and greater network density.

The last major wireless acquisition in the U.S., Verizon’s purchase of privately held Alltel, required Verizon to divest assets in 100 smaller markets. But Verizon was primarily a major market operator while Alltel focused on smaller communities, leading to relatively little overlap. T-Mobile and AT&T are both prominent in the big cities, which could lead to some big concessions if AT&T wants the FCC and Justice Department’s blessing. Watts, however, doesn't believe that combining operations in the large markets will be a big problem. Regulators will approach the acquisition on market by market, Watts said, and in most markets that AT&T and T-Mobile operate there are five or more commercial mobile operators.


AT&T: T-Mobile deal would produce a bigger, better operator ultimately benefiting consumers Analysis: higher prices, fewer choices if AT&T swallows T-Mobile (ars technica)
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Broadcasters have told the Federal Communications Commission to do some more looking before it makes its wireless spectrum leap.

In comments on the FCC's spectrum proceeding, the National Association of Broadcasters outlined a five-point plan it said was the right way for the FCC to proceed:
1) assess how the wireless industry could use its spectrum from efficiently;
2) finish and put out for comment a spectrum use study;
3) weigh the costs of shifting spectrum against the potential harms to consumer and the public interest;
4) look for other ways to expand broadband access, and
5) consider and get comment on repacking and incentive auctions before it acts.

NAB was responding to the FCC's proposal to reclassify broadcast spectrum as dual use, broadcast and wireless; have broadcasters share channels, and make improvements to VHF band reception, which is inferior to UHF for DTV. Filing its comments as the combined NAB and the Association for Maximum Service Television, the spectrum lobby group that NAB voted to incorporate into itself, NAB reiterated that it does not oppose incentive auctions, but that the FCC needs to look more broadly and consider all viewers, not just over-the-air viewers.


Broadcasters To FCC: Take Holistic Look At Spectrum Range War 2011: Broadcasters vs. Wireless Providers (CommLawBlog)
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More than two-dozen station groups and owners representing more than 200 TV stations across the country have banded together to tell the Federal Communications Commission that its approach to freeing up spectrum is illegal, and in comments to the FCC said, essentially, they can't comment fully on it because of the FCC's piecemeal approach to the issue.

The groups, which are commenting collectively as Local Television Broadcasters, include Media General, Nexstar, Allbritton, Granite, Gray, Tribune, McGraw-Hill and a veritable host of others. In their comments on the FCC's spectrum proceeding, they told the FCC that its proposals would do irrevocable harm to broadcasters, viewers, the public interest and the law. And when it comes to mobile DTV, they said the proposal for some broadcasters to channel share would "eviscerate" the service without any corresponding benefit. They also argue that efforts by the FCC to improve VHF reception -- as a way to encourage broadcasters to move there so the FCC can free up contiguous spectrum space in the superior UHF band, are doomed to failure. There are, they say, "immutable VHF propagation characteristics" that make any improvements likely to be only slight and insufficient to protect DTV service quality.


Station Groups: FCC Spectrum Proposals Are Illegal
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[Commentary] In the last few weeks, I have read a number of op-eds claiming that reallocation of broadcast spectrum for wireless use should be left to the free market. While I am a fervent believer in free markets and limited government, there are rare instances in which government involvement is necessary. I agree with Federal Communications Commission Chairman Julius Genachowski on his proposal that managing the incentive process to voluntarily reclaim broadcast licenses and repack the spectrum is an area that absolutely requires FCC leadership and experience.

When the FCC assumed responsibility in 1927 to determine the license holders for the nation's spectrum, there were only a few licensees. Today, and largely driven by the wireless industry, spectrum is a scarce commodity that commands billions when auctioned. To ensure that this finite resource is put to its highest and best use, the federal government acts as manager and aggregator of the licenses. For wireless, it identifies spectrum bands that are nationally, and sometimes internationally, harmonized once underused spectrum is identified and license holders are moved (or repackaged). With thousands of license holders across the country, including broadcasters, it's a challenging task but one the government does well to ensure interference-free service. The FCC rightfully plays a critical role in the voluntary broadcast incentive auction process because it works for everyone involved. Let's work with the FCC and move quickly to get this valuable spectrum to auction--the first step will be legislation that authorizes an incentive auction--so that the U.S. wireless industry can remain the world's leader and continue to offer our consumers the best mobile experience.


FCC, not free market, best for spectrum auction

The Federal Communications Commission has released its latest reports on Internet access service connections and telephone subscribership in the US. The reports are based on data submitted by carriers every six months on FCC Form 477. The reports track changes at the state and national level in the number of subscribers to Internet access service in 72 different combinations of speed tiers, and the number of wireline, mobile and interconnected Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) telephone subscribers. Both reports include data collected by the FCC through June 30, 2010.

Highlights from the Internet Access Services report include the following:

  • 60% of connections were slower than the benchmark 4 megabits per second (Mbps) download speed identified by the FCC as the minimum bandwidth generally required to accommodate today's uses: high-quality voice, data, graphics, and video.
  • Growth of fixed broadband service appears to have flattened at 1% in the first half of 2010, to 82 million connections.

Highlights from the Local Telephone Competition report including the following:

  • Interconnected VoIP grew by 21% between June 2009 and June 2010.
  • Conventional switched access lines (i.e., traditional wireline telephone lines) decreased by 8% between June 2009 and June 2010.
  • 28% of all residential wireline connections were interconnected VoIP as of June 2010.
  • An estimated 77% of interconnected VoIP subscribers received service through a cable provider.
  • The number of subscriptions to wireless phone service grew by 5% in the year.

FCC Releases Internet/Local Telephone Reports FCC (Internet Access Services) FCC (Local Telephone Competition) FCC: Broadband growth flattened in 2010 (The Hill)